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Tuesday, July 21, 2009

The health care fallacy

Obama sells his health care program by claiming that increased spending on preventative care will fund a big part of the costs of the plan. This is sheer nonsense.

Let’s assume that preventative care really keeps people alive and healthy on average for an extra year. That means that the population will have somewhat reduced health care costs for one year (the amount which would have been spent on acute healthcare less the amount spent on preventative healthcare.) After that, the acute healthcare costs will rise again because the older people will go back to being sick and dying at the same rate as now. In addition, the preventative costs will have to be maintained or those left will start dying younger. So, the preventative costs will add costs in the long run.

I realize that this analysis seems harsh, but it is just the logic (so-called) of the Obamacrats moved forward to the ultimate conclusion. It will be imperative for Obama to have care denied to some level of those who are ill in order to achieve cost cutting. Why doesn’t he just endorse euthanasia?

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