One data point that the media seems to miss on a persistent basis is voter registration and what it indicates for upcoming elections. I took a look just now at the figures in Pennsylvania. You may recall that while the Democrats have more registered voters in PA, Trump carried the state over Clinton in 2016 by just over 90,000 votes. This result, more than that in any other state, was the biggest shock in 2016.
So what's happened since the 2016 election? First of all, the number of Republicans and Democrats have both declined. The decline in the numbers of Democrats, however, has been much greater than among the GOP voters. In fact, the edge in registration numbers by the D's over the R's went down by rought 103,000 voters. Some of the movement comes as a result of voters being purged from the rolls after they fail to vote for six years. The other big force behind the changes in the voting numbers is individuals who change from one party to another plus new voters being added to the rolls for the first time. Overall, though, these figures indicate that in PA, it is the Republicans who are outperforming the Democrats.
So what's happened since the 2016 election? First of all, the number of Republicans and Democrats have both declined. The decline in the numbers of Democrats, however, has been much greater than among the GOP voters. In fact, the edge in registration numbers by the D's over the R's went down by rought 103,000 voters. Some of the movement comes as a result of voters being purged from the rolls after they fail to vote for six years. The other big force behind the changes in the voting numbers is individuals who change from one party to another plus new voters being added to the rolls for the first time. Overall, though, these figures indicate that in PA, it is the Republicans who are outperforming the Democrats.
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