Fleeing the Chaos

From March through July, the US Postal Service received over 150,000 more requests in New York City to forward mail to new addresses than it did during the same period in 2019.  This is concrete proof that hundreds of thousands of New Yorkers fled the virus, the crime and the chaos of the Big Apple,  The bulk of the changes were for people moving to the suburbs, but a large number also fled NY state and even the region.

With the city still not even close to recovering from the virus (and things right now are going in the wrong direction), New York is lucky that the census was taken mostly prior to the mass exodus.  Losing three hundred thousand residents or more as these numbers indicate would have cut federal aid and even congressional seats from the city.  Those are based upon census numbers.

It's not surprising that so many have fled.  What we can't tell from these numbers is just how many of the affluent (who pay the bulk of the taxes) have left.  Based upon the zip codes with the biggest number of requests, however, it appears as if a much bigger chunk of the New York tax base left for elsewhere.

Looking back at the polls

 Over the last two years, I have written about the biased and phony polls pushed by “respected” pollster Quinipiac. It’s worth taking a moment to see how these frauds did in their final polls

They had Biden’s up by 11%. The margin was 3%. That’s way outside the so called margin of error

They also had Biden up significantly in Florida, Ohio, and PA. Biden lost the first two and PA was basically tied rather than the 7% the frauds a Quinipiac predicted. They also predicted a razor tight race in Iowa which Trump took easily. In short, none of their final polls were even close to being correct. All errors favored Biden to.  

Hopefully these frauds will be drummed out of the profession. There’s no need for phony polls to push a point of view 

DACA is Back with Biden

 Amazingly, Joe Biden announced that he will reinstate DACA like Obama had it.  Obama's executive order establishing DACA was unconstitutional.  Without a doubt, the president cannot just issue an order to set up such a program; only Congress can do that.  This new Biden action -- if done -- will just set up litigation to strike down DACA once and for all.

What a waste of time.  Biden would do much better to try to get litigation through Congress for some version of the program.  It would likely pass but it would require compromise with the GOP, something that Biden does not seem ready for.

Sad

Leaving Twitter

 I deactivated my Twitter account today.  With the election over, there's really no need to keep track of what the crazies are saying and there are just too many of them on that site.  I also got tired of Twitter's endless censoring of free speech.  

If you're still on Twitter, I suggest you follow my lead and stop using that platform.

What Does President Biden Mean?

 The media is busy proclaiming Biden the winner.  The President hasn't yet conceded and he may yet pull out a victory in the counting, but it really isn't likely.  No court is going to order a new vote.  Only the state legislatures could change the outcome and they just don't have the courage to act.  Fraud seems to be coming out on top.

It's sad to think that corrupt people in Philadelphia and Michigan and Atlanta were able to fix the result.  It couldn't have happened if the result were not so close;  We will never know who actually won the election, although it is likely that it was President Trump.

But life goes on.  What will a Biden administration mean?   The first question we have to answer is whether or not the GOP holds the senate.  If one or both of the runoffs in Georgia go Republican (and I expect they both will) then Biden and the Dems will be blocked from passing some of their crazier items like packing the court, the Green New Deal and huge tax increases and restrictions on fossil fuels.  Still, Biden will still be able to carry out the dismantling of much of Trump's policies in foreign affairs and trade.  Biden will likely rejoin the Paris climate accords.  He may even try to rejoin the Iran JCPOA which guarantees a bomb to the mullahs in a few years.  He will pull back from Trump's super successful Middle East policies which brought peace between Israel and five Arab nations.  Biden will go back to the failed Obama policies.  Biden will also have to deal with North Korea, and that will likely not go well. Biden is cautious in foreign matters and the NKs don't respond well to that.  China basically owns Biden because of all the corrupt deals he made for Hunter and himself.  Our trade policy will collapse and the USA will go back to the Obama policy of exporting jobs to China.  In Europe, Biden will support the EU and will back away from the UK after Brexit.

Domestically, we will see the end of many of the immigration policies put in place by Trump.  The Mexicans will stop keeping illegals away from our borders.  Benefits will be extended by executive action to illegals and the lure will be back in place to draw millions from Central America here.

Taxes and energy policy will be modified depending on which Republican senators Biden can lure into bogus deals.  My candidate for most likely dupe is Mitt Romney.

All the race neutral policies Trump put in place will likely be withdrawn.  It won't change things for blacks, but it will make the white liberal Dems feel good about themselves.

It's going to be a long, long four years.

My guess is that by 2022, there will be a backlash that will give control of the House back to the Republicans and reinforce GOP control of the senate.  Hopefully in 2024, there will be a good GOP candidate who can retake the White House.

And I'm assuming that Biden serves his full term.  That's a big assumption.  A president Harris would be a much bigger disaster than Biden.

Congress —House Outlook

 A strange thing is happening in the polls in races for Congress: the Republicans are doing better and better

It’s still not likely that the GOP takes back the House but they seem to have like 1 chance in 3 of doing so. NBC did a generic congressional poll and the Republicans did better than they have for a long time. In fact the numbers were good enough that a small GOP majority makes sense. Meanwhile omens of a Republican resurgence keep appearing.   The Des Moines Register poll showed half the seat in Iowa flipping from Dem to Republican. Peter Fabio of Oregon who has been in Congress for almost 30 years showed up behind in a recent poll. More items like that keep appearing