The special election yesterday in NY's 20th congressional district has ended with a very close race, but with the likely winner being the Republican. As of now, the tabulated vote shows Murphy, the Democrat, about 64 votes ahead. There are over 6000 absentee and military ballots still to be counted, however. Of these, ballots received from Republicans outnumber those from Democrats by close to 800. There is still time to receive more absentee and military ballots in the mail -- although the most likely number of additional votes is under 1000. As a result, if these additional ballots break along party lines (which is certainly likely), the Republican should triumph.
This district voted over 60% for obama in November and has been represented by a Democrat in the last two terms. It is much more Republican than the average NY district,but a Republican victory here would still be big news particularly since Obama lgot involved in the campaign (along with many other national Democratic figures).
The message seems clear here. The honeymoon is over for Obama.
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