We've all seen the polls that show Biden in the lead as well as the analyses that give Biden about a 90% chance of victory.
But here's the problem: they don't line up with the actual facts.
1. The enthusiasm for President Trump is through the roof. He gets 15000 ore 20000 at his rallies. Biden gets six or seven people. Recently, Biden and Harris held a joint rally and no one showed up other than the media. President Obama campaigned for Biden yesterday in PA. His crowd was less than 50.
2. Early voting is supposed to be controlled by the Dems but they are actually losing in MI and WI. In Florida, the GOP is ahead by over 200,000 in early voting in person. These are staggeringly poor numbers for the Dems.
3. Voting groups like minorities and college students that are key parts of the Dem coalition are just not turning out at the usual rate. Maybe they will show on election day, but that seems unlikely.
4. Then there's the question of the shy Trump voters. How many lied to pollsters rather than admitting that they support 'Trump, And how many Trump voters are just lying to pollsters for fun?
Simply put, trump will win.
1 comment:
Found this blog by googling "we've all seen the polls" and you're exactly right. Go check out People's Pundit (Richard Baris) on YouTube and on twitter for further information about what you just said. Trump is going to win. Reason I'm commenting is because I'm annoyed at all the people on the internet who haven't learned from their mistakes and are insisting now that Trump is finished because of the polls. Even a real life Trump supporting friend of mine has been calling me crazy for knowing that polling is bunk (which i'm extra annoyed with because i've spent hours studying them and because of that I know they're bunk)
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