Today's Rasmussen polls state that from now until the election, the percentages of Republicans and Democrats in the electorate will be adjusted week to week rather than month to month as has been the case up to now. This is a fairly standard way of fine tuning the polling as the election approaches. The percentages used are the average responses of the previous six weeks of polling.
Right now, according to Rasmussen, the electorate is 33.2% Republican and 38.7% Democratic. This is substantially better than the figures from February through June of this year when the Democrats lead stayed at approximately 10%. Even more interesting are the figures from just the first two weeks in September. These compute to 34.4% Republican and 38.3% Democratic, a Democratic lead of only 3.9%.
There is no way to know if the trend in party identification will continue or move back the other way. What is essential to consider, however, is that the recent trend proof that all of the talk of Obama adding new voters to beef up the Democrats' base is just that: talk. For all of the efforts by the Obama folks in that regard, the number of self described Democrats in the electorate has been declining at an increasingly rapid rate. Yet another underpinning of the Democrats' mantra about Obama is collapsing.
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