Politico is out with an article discussing the ten governor's races for 2018 most likely to change parties. It's silly. That's not to say that some governorships won't flip. Some almost certainly will. Right here in Connecticut, the bad taste left by our current governor Dan Malloy has actually made it possible that a Republican could win in this very blue state. Similarly, Republicans like Rauner in ultra-blue Illinois could fall to a Democrat in November. Still that doesn't make the Politico article meaningful.
Here's an example of what I am discussing. According to Politico, Larry Hogan, governor of Maryland, is in this group of ten who are in trouble. In the latest polling, Hogan has 61% job approval from Maryland voters. In head to head match ups with potential Democrat opponents, Hogan has double digit leads against all but one, where he still leads by 8%. As a Republican in Democrat Maryland, Hogan has to win Democrat votes, but he does so in the polling. While it is not inconceivable that Hogan could lose, the same is true of every incumbent running across the nation.
I don't know why Politico wastes our time with articles like these.
Here's an example of what I am discussing. According to Politico, Larry Hogan, governor of Maryland, is in this group of ten who are in trouble. In the latest polling, Hogan has 61% job approval from Maryland voters. In head to head match ups with potential Democrat opponents, Hogan has double digit leads against all but one, where he still leads by 8%. As a Republican in Democrat Maryland, Hogan has to win Democrat votes, but he does so in the polling. While it is not inconceivable that Hogan could lose, the same is true of every incumbent running across the nation.
I don't know why Politico wastes our time with articles like these.
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