This Should Be Interesting

Election day is a week from tomorrow, so the pollsters ought to be trying very hard to get their results to be correct.  That's why today's poll in the Virginia governor's race is so strange.  In the last ten days, there have been five polls taken in this race.  They've been very close on average; Northam the Democrat leads Gillespie the Republican in the five polls by 0.6%.  Then Quinnipiac releases today's poll which shows Northam up by 17%.  It is as if Quinnipiac is polling in a different state.  I went back to look at the previous polls in the race.  For months, Quinnipiac has been showing Northam with a double digit lead.  Of the last 22 polls done by other pollsters, only one (taken months ago) gave Northam a double digit lead.

It is not statistically possible that validly taken polling results could be this skewed.  Simply put, Quinnipiac is doing something to give the Democrat a big lead.  Why would a polling organization like Qunnipiac put out bogus polls like this?

Okay, before you email me to say that maybe all the other polls are wrong, remember that there are seven other polling organizations doing these polls.  It is impossible that all seven got together to fake their polls so that the race would look close when it really isn't.

It ought to be wrong for a pollster to put out phony poll results or to tailor his poll so that faulty results will be produced.