The New York Times/Siena group had polls done in eight key states matching up President Trump against Biden, Warren, and Sanders. The current conventional wisdom in the media is that Trump cannot win re-election because more than half of voters want him impeached. Let's see how that lines up with the new polls. We can focus on the new "front runner" among Democrats, Elizabeth Warren.
In Michigan and Iowa, Trump beats Warren by 7%. Trump carried both states in 2016, although it was extremely close in Michigan. If Trump wins Michigan again in 2020, it would seem that the race would be essentially over.
In Florida, Trump wins by 4% and in North Carolina by 3%. These are two key states that Trump won in 2016 and he is still ahead there.
In Pennsylvania, Trump beats Warren by 1%. That's roughly the margin by which Trump beat Clinton in 2016 in PA. If Trump wins both Michigan and PA, Warren would have no chance for victory.
Wisconsin shows up as a tie in the poll. It went for Trump in 2016 by less than half a percent, so again, this is just a repeat of that race.
Arizona is the one state Trump carried where Warren is ahead. She beats Trump by 2%. Meanwhile Nevada flips the other way. Clinton won it in 2016 by Trump bests Warren here by 2%. This is an Emerson poll rather than a Times poll which happens to have been released today.
There's also a Texas poll which shows Trump up over Warren by 7%. This poll was done by the University of Texas. It's a rather strong answer to all those recent articles about how Trump is "in trouble" in Texas.
These polls don't really indicate anything as to the final outcome a year from now. They do, however, show the reality of the media campaign to undermine Trump support by claiming that he will lose. Trump today is just as strong as he was in 2016. Indeed, if Warren continues to come out with fantasy nonsense like her Medicare for All plan, Trump could beat her in a landslide.
In Michigan and Iowa, Trump beats Warren by 7%. Trump carried both states in 2016, although it was extremely close in Michigan. If Trump wins Michigan again in 2020, it would seem that the race would be essentially over.
In Florida, Trump wins by 4% and in North Carolina by 3%. These are two key states that Trump won in 2016 and he is still ahead there.
In Pennsylvania, Trump beats Warren by 1%. That's roughly the margin by which Trump beat Clinton in 2016 in PA. If Trump wins both Michigan and PA, Warren would have no chance for victory.
Wisconsin shows up as a tie in the poll. It went for Trump in 2016 by less than half a percent, so again, this is just a repeat of that race.
Arizona is the one state Trump carried where Warren is ahead. She beats Trump by 2%. Meanwhile Nevada flips the other way. Clinton won it in 2016 by Trump bests Warren here by 2%. This is an Emerson poll rather than a Times poll which happens to have been released today.
There's also a Texas poll which shows Trump up over Warren by 7%. This poll was done by the University of Texas. It's a rather strong answer to all those recent articles about how Trump is "in trouble" in Texas.
These polls don't really indicate anything as to the final outcome a year from now. They do, however, show the reality of the media campaign to undermine Trump support by claiming that he will lose. Trump today is just as strong as he was in 2016. Indeed, if Warren continues to come out with fantasy nonsense like her Medicare for All plan, Trump could beat her in a landslide.
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