In the last two days there were three new polls released on the generic Congressional ballot question. That's the poll in which people are asked if the election were today, would they vote for the Republican or the Democrat. The three poll found the Democrats ahead of the Republicans by an average of 2%. Because of the way that these polls work, that result would indicate that the GOP would hold the House easily if the numbers remain the same as of the election. There is always a slight lead for the Democrats in these figures because they usually question registered voters, many of whom do not bother to come to the polls to vote. The rule of thumb is that it would take a Democrat lead of 5% or more in these polls for the Democrats to have a chance to win the House.
Now it is still a long time until November. In the next five months, anything could happen, and much will. The numbers can move all over the place. One thing is certain, though: these poll results demonstrate that all that talk last December of a Blue Wave is no longer valid. At that time, the nation was set against the GOP because it was passing the Tax Cut bill for which the Democrats and media had convinced the average voter the result would be a tax increase. That blatant lie has been revealed as people have gotten bigger paychecks and robust economic growth has continued. Add onto that the good developments regarding North Korea, the collapse of the Russia-Trump narrative, the discovery of the Obama FBI/CIA planting a spy in the Trump campaign, and other successes for President Trump, and the movement of the voters has been huge.
We will have to wait and see what happens in November, but if the present movement holds, it won't make the Democrats happy.
Now it is still a long time until November. In the next five months, anything could happen, and much will. The numbers can move all over the place. One thing is certain, though: these poll results demonstrate that all that talk last December of a Blue Wave is no longer valid. At that time, the nation was set against the GOP because it was passing the Tax Cut bill for which the Democrats and media had convinced the average voter the result would be a tax increase. That blatant lie has been revealed as people have gotten bigger paychecks and robust economic growth has continued. Add onto that the good developments regarding North Korea, the collapse of the Russia-Trump narrative, the discovery of the Obama FBI/CIA planting a spy in the Trump campaign, and other successes for President Trump, and the movement of the voters has been huge.
We will have to wait and see what happens in November, but if the present movement holds, it won't make the Democrats happy.
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