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Wednesday, February 12, 2014

The Field Gets Bigger

One of the most insightful experts on the political scene is Michael Barone.  He knows more about political facts than nearly anyone else.  Today, he is out with a column that discusses something that has been overlooked to date.  In his column Barone talks about the chances that the Republicans are putting many new seats in play in the House.  For essentially all last year, we heard about how the Democrats were trying to retake the House after losing it in 2010.  Then that chatter stopped and the focus moved to Republican efforts to retake the Senate.  That is where nearly all the talk now centers.  Barone, however, has moved further.  He is now shifting to a review of how many and which seats the Republicans can win so as to add to their majority.  Barone is quick to point out that many things can shift between now and November, so he is not predicting any particular outcome.  Still, Barone is someone who does not talk about these subjects for partisan purposes.  If he discusses the potential increase in Republicans in the House, he is not trying to help that to happen.  when it comes to politics and voting trends, Barone is about the straightest shooter around.

It will be extremely interesting to see what happens as 2014 unfolds and the horrors of Obamacare keep hitting more and more and more people.  My expectation has been that things would get so bad that the Democrats would cave and join the GOP to repeal Obamacare.  Of course, I has assumed that president Obama would obey the Constitution, something that would prevent him from changing the law every other Tuesday to try to help politically (as he has done).  Obama is making it more difficult for the repeal to take place, but he is doing no favors for the Democrats.  If that party goes into the November elections with Obamacare still in place, the Democrats will face a disaster in my opinion.  After leading his party to a loss of the Senate and further losses in the House, it will be hard even for Obama to do much of anything in his last two years. 




 

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