Harry Reid

The choice of Sharon Angle as the Republican candidate in Nevada to run against Harry Reid has led to numberous stories about how Reid can now win re-election. Not so fast! A new poll out today puts Angle in the lead at 48-41%. Obviously, there are many months left in the campaign. The key, however, is that Reid has never polled about 42% in the last eight months of polls in Nevada against all opponents including Angle. Everyone in Nevada knows Reid, but only 40% or so will admit to voting for him. That usually means the end of the career for an incumbent. If Harry cannot beat a relative unknown like Angle at this point, the voters are voting against Reid and not for Angle. Assuming Angle does not start foaming at the mouth and claiming she was abducted by aliens, Reid is toast in my opinion.