There's a primary in Louisiana today that is well worth watching. Governor Edwards (the Democrat) is running for re-election against two Republican candidates. In Louisiana's unusual system, they all run in the same primary and the top two vote - getters then face off in November's general election. If one candidate gets 50% plus one vote today, however, that person is elected governor and there is no election in November. Most of the polls have shown Edwards at something like 50% for the last few weeks. The Republicans have been splitting the other half.
Then last night President Trump went to Louisiana for a final get out the vote rally. As usual, his rally was packed with tens of thousands of raucous voters. Today's primary is a good way to gauge how effective these Trump rallies really are.
If Edwards wins over 50%, it will be a failure by Trump.
If Edwards wins with just under 50%, then there will be no way to know what the Trump effect was.
On the other hand, if Edwards wins with 45% of the vote or less, then there will be an unmistakable indication that either the President's visit was very effective or that about six polls of the election by different pollsters were totally wrong.
In the extremely unlikely event that one of the Republican candidates leads the results, the Democrats in DC better start figuring out how they are going to end the impeachment extravaganza without looking too idiotic.
We'll know the answer to all this by tomorrow morning.
Then last night President Trump went to Louisiana for a final get out the vote rally. As usual, his rally was packed with tens of thousands of raucous voters. Today's primary is a good way to gauge how effective these Trump rallies really are.
If Edwards wins over 50%, it will be a failure by Trump.
If Edwards wins with just under 50%, then there will be no way to know what the Trump effect was.
On the other hand, if Edwards wins with 45% of the vote or less, then there will be an unmistakable indication that either the President's visit was very effective or that about six polls of the election by different pollsters were totally wrong.
In the extremely unlikely event that one of the Republican candidates leads the results, the Democrats in DC better start figuring out how they are going to end the impeachment extravaganza without looking too idiotic.
We'll know the answer to all this by tomorrow morning.
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