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Monday, October 21, 2019

What Will The Outcome Be In Canada

If you're like most Americans, you are completely unaware that Canada is voting today in a national election.  The polls are very close although the final ones show, on average, a tiny lead by the Conservatives over Prime Minister Trudeau's Liberal party.  In Canada, however, voters chose 338 separate members of parliament in individual districts.  Thus the national poll results don't really matter.  The Conservatives win in Alberta by a huge margin and the Liberals win big in the Atlantic provinces.  Normally, the contest comes down to which party does best in Ontario and Quebec.

All the "experts" are predicting that neither of the main parties will win a majority in parliament.  That would leave the balance of power with the NDP or the Bloc Quebecois.  The results could really go in a lot of different ways.

One thing is certain.  Trudeau has not won the love and support of his country.  If he loses the majority, it will be the first time in nearly 100 years that a prime minister up for re-election the first time has failed to hold onto his majority.

No matter what happens in the voting, the relationship between Canada and the USA is unlikely to change.  

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