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Sunday, November 19, 2017

Here We Go Again

For the second time in a few days, Israeli tanks have fired "warning shots" at Syrian forces who are violating the 1974 Armistice Agreement that ended hostilities in the Yom Kippur War.  The Syrians and Israelis agreed that there would be a demilitarized zone between the two countries and that no heavy equipment would be used to fortify and positions in that zone.  Syrian forces loyal to the Assad regime have been spotted doing construction inside the zone to build bunkers and other fortified positions in clear violation of the Armistice.  The Israelis objected to the local UN commander who oversees the armistice, but the Syrians did not stop.  The shelling by the tanks followed.

If the Syrians do not stop the violations of the Armistice, the Israelis will undoubtedly destroy whatever it is that the Syrians are building.  Israeli jets could pulverize the structure in less than a minute, but that might result in Syrian casualties.  The Israelis do not tolerate Syrian violations of the armistice.

Most likely, we will shortly see a third move by Israel, this time to destroy the new Syrian bunker.  Assad will denounce the move, but unless something new is afoot, he will do nothing other than to look impotent in the face of the Israeli military.  Let's hope that is how it turns out.  It would be terrible if the Syrians are just trying to create a reason to start fighting with the Israelis.  ISIS is almost gone from Syria.  Even though Assad may want to push all the Moslems into supporting him by fighting with Israel, it would be terrible for him to subject the Syrians to even more violence just to solidify his political position.

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