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Sunday, July 17, 2011

Let's add a few number to the mix

In the last few days, I have been writing about the despair among Democrats with regard to the Obama re-election campaign. They see the economy heading in the wrong direction and they also see no way for Obama to change that. Indeed, it is looking more likely that the economy will weigh down on Obama throughout 2012. As a result, some Democrats have started acting out with silly claims like the debt ceililng debate is really racism, or the GOP intentionally is trying to destroy the economy. The American people see these claims for what they are, the rantings of a few desperate people. But the question still remains, how do the American people see the actions of the president with regard to the debt ceiling debate.

In the last week, the debt ceiling issue has crowded out nearly all other news. Obama has held three press conferences in the last ten days, when he had previously been holding such conferences about every six months. Day in and day out we see Obama on the TV screen telling us how he is the adult in the room, the only one who truly wants to cut spending, the great budget balancer. So, has that campaign been working? The polls all say no. In the last two weeks, Obama's aproval numbers have tanked. Right now, all polls that question likely voters find more disapprove of Obama than approve of him. Even when the poll sample comes from "adults" (which means that even those who are neither registered nor likely to vote are included), only one recent poll finds Obama with a positive rating of more than 1%. The trend is also important. Two weeks ago, Obama's ratings were much higher.

So, the constant barrage of Obama's message about his serious committment to deficit reduction (which only a fool would believe) has not had a positive effect on the electorate. Indeed, when Obama keeps talking about how much he is willing to agree to but refuses to give even one detail of what he would accept, it becomes clear to most people that the man is not serious.

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