There were two polls released today that ought to give the White House a panic attack. First, Rasmussen released a national poll which showed Mitt Romney leading Obama by 43% to 42%. Sure, the rap on Rasmussen is that his polls always seem to show the Republicans doing better than some others, and it is obviously way early to get too invested in poll results. If you add in the second poll, however, you find that Public Policy Polling which is a Democrat pollster shows a tie nationally between Obama and Romney at 45% each. The key to both these polls is not only that Obama is tied or just behind, but also that his numbers are so low. An incumbent president cannot feel safe unless his numbers are over 50%. After all, the public knows him well, and if they are still not in favor of his re-election, something major has got to change for him to win.
Things get even worse for Obama when he is matched against a generic Republican. In those matches, Obama is generally 6 to 8 percent behind the generic GOP candidate depending on which company is doing the polling.
Obama will have many chances to change the dynamic in the next 15 months. It will be hard for Obama to do anything now that will rescue the economy, however. If the USA economy continues to limp along like now, or if the economy gets worse (hopefully not), Obama will be stuck with much of his present position. In other words, at this early point, things do not look good for the Man from Hope and Change.
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