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Monday, August 28, 2017

Are These Real Polls?

There are two polls out that questioned Republican voters in Arizona and Nevada with regard to the 2018 senate race.  In Nevada, incumbent senator Dean Heller is losing his party primary by 39 to 31 to Tarkanian.  That's a terrible result for an incumbent within his own party.  If Nevada is surprising, then Arizona is astounding.  In the GOP primary in Arizona, senator Flake is losing to Ward by 47 to 21%.  The idea that a sitting senator is getting only a fifth of the primary vote is something unimaginable.

If these numbers are even remotely close to the actual numbers, I doubt that Jeff Flake will even run for re-election.  There's no point to getting crushed in a primary.  Heller's case is less clear cut.  He might be able to recover, but it certainly is not looking good.

Keep in mind that Flake has been hyper critical of President Trump and has even opposed the border wall, not exactly a good position in Arizona.  Heller also made clear that he opposed the Obamacare repeal, another position unlikely to win friends among Republican primary voters.

 

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