It seems that after I wrote about the divide in polls in Virginia between those of registered voters and those of likely voters, a new poll of registered voters was released by Quinipiac. This poll shows the race tied at 44-44. The trend in Virginia is clear. In the last three polls in the state by Quinipiac, the results have gone from 50-42 for Obama, to 47-42 for Obama last month to 44-44 now.
If Obama loses Virginia, he will surely also lose North Carolina and Indiana. Those are the three states in the 3-2-1 strategy for a Romney victory. It would be nice to think that the "3" part of the plan is in place.
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