In mid-April, a poll in Texas found the race for the senate very close. Ted Cruz was ahead of his challenger Beto O'Rourke by just 3% - 47 to 44%. The left-wing networks went crazy. Texas was finally going blue! Cruz would be toast in November! I got at least seven fund-raising emails from Democrats and inordinate amounts of tweets recounting this poll and seeking help for Beto's campaign. (Yes, Beto is his real name. It used to be something else, but he changed it legally much the way Warren Wilhelm changed to Bill DeBlasio when running for office in New York.)
Now things have changed. Since that first aberration, the polls have all moved towards Cruz. Today a new one came out that has Cruz at 50% and Beto down to 39%. That 11% lead is important, but even more important is that 50% support level for Ted Cruz. It's a strong indicator that the electorate is coalescing around the idea of re-electing him as senator.
It's also worth noting that Texas governor Greg Abbott is way ahead of his Democrat challenger as well. This too will help Cruz.
It's way to early to predict the final winner, but right now, Texas should be in the "likely Republican" column.
Now things have changed. Since that first aberration, the polls have all moved towards Cruz. Today a new one came out that has Cruz at 50% and Beto down to 39%. That 11% lead is important, but even more important is that 50% support level for Ted Cruz. It's a strong indicator that the electorate is coalescing around the idea of re-electing him as senator.
It's also worth noting that Texas governor Greg Abbott is way ahead of his Democrat challenger as well. This too will help Cruz.
It's way to early to predict the final winner, but right now, Texas should be in the "likely Republican" column.
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