There are events taking place that seem to get little coverage in the media but which deserve our attention.
1. There could be a major war brewing between Israel and the terrorist group Hezbollah supported by Iran. For many years, Hezbollah was focused on supporting the Assad regime in Syria. During that time, Hezbollah had forces in the Syrian fighting and supposedly suffered something like 30% casualties. Now that the Syrian fighting is essentially over, Hezbollah has moved back to targeting Israel with the help of Iran. This has led to two developments. First, the Hezbollah forces have been constructing tunnels under the border between Israel and Lebanon (which is Hezbollah's home). These are like the tunnels that Hamas constructed on Israel's border with Gaza and then used to sneak into Israel to conduct raids and kidnappings. In the last week or so, Israel has been conducting operations on its own side of the border to find and destroy these tunnels. So far, two have been found and destroyed. There's no word yet on whether or not there are more. Second, and much more important, Hezbollah has commenced an operation supported by Iran to put guidance systems on its thousands of missiles in Lebanon. At the moment, Hezbollah has something like 130,000 missiles it could fire at Israel, but these are extremely inaccurate. Were Hezbollah to fire at a particular target, the odds are overwhelming that it would miss. Of course, were Hezbollah to fire thousands of missiles it would surely hit something. Israel has its Iron Dome system which tracks missiles and shoots down those which are projected to hit populated areas or military targets. It essentially neutralizes the threat of the Hezbollah missiles unless the terrorists were to launch thousands of missiles simultaneously. Of course, were Hezbollah to have accurate missiles, it would take far fewer to overwhelm the Iron Dome system. One hundred accurate missiles launched at the same time could not be shot down by the Iron Dome system; some would get through and inflict major casualties on the Israelis. As a result Israel is moving ahead to try to stop Hezbollah from getting the capability of building these guidance systems.
All of this means that were are likely at a point at which either Hezbollah decides that it needs to use the tunnels that it built before they are destroyed by the Israelis, or Israel decides that it has to wipe out the Hezbollah facilities building the guidance systems by attacking them in Lebanon. Either action could be the spark that starts a major war.
A war between Israel and Hezbollah would be a serious problem. No doubt, all the people living near the border would be in jeopardy. While the Israelis would not target the civilians, Hezbollah uses the same tactics as Hamas by keeping its missiles in schools, mosques, churches and even hospitals. That makes such buildings inevitable targets as Hezbollah tries to launch attacks. On the other hand, Hezbollah's main target would be Israeli civilians as it launches thousands of vaguely targeted missiles. The Israelis might be forced to invade Lebanon to weed out the missiles. If that happens, most likely Hamas will use the occasion to launch its own attacks from Gaza. The Israelis will face a two front terrorist war.
In the old days a war between Israel and her neighbors led to the possibility of confrontation between the USA and the USSR. These days, Russia is back in the Middle East, principally as an ally of the Assad regime in Syria. Nevertheless, Russia is unlikely to get involved in fighting in Lebanon involving only Israel, Hezbollah and Iran. That Iranian involvement, though, is something that is unpredictable. Iran could use the war to launch its own missiles at Israel. No doubt that would lead to some sort of Israeli retaliation against the Iranians, and the result could be a much wider war in the Middle East. The point is that once a war began between Hezbollah and Israel, it has the possibility of growing much larger.
2. The overall "order" in Europe seems to be crumbling. The media, however, covers it as if it is not related. That's wrong.
In the UK, a Brexit vote is likely to be postponed in Parliament. No matter, it still seems that the vote will fail and that could lead to a quick departure for Prime Minister May. If May goes, it's unclear who will follow her. Elections could even lead to the victory of the Labour Party and its odious leader Jeremy Corbyn as the electorate expresses its revulsion for the failure of the Tories to govern effectively.
In France, the Macron government is in deep trouble. The protests in Paris shows no signs of abating. (By the way, notice have the mainstream media call these protests "riots" because they are being carried out by people who don't want to pay major tax increases to fight "climate change"?) In fact, the protests seem to be expanding to cover additional subjects like the level of immigration into France.
In Germany, Angela Merkel is soon to end her time as chancellor. Her Christian Democrat party as well as the Socialists with whom she governs in coalition seem to lose more and more voters to the people who oppose the extremely lax policies followed by Merkel on immigration.
In Spain, the Vox party won seats for the first time in a regional legislature in Andalusia. Vox is labeled "far right" in the European media, but its main focus is on reducing immigration into Spain.
These, and other, European moves are not unrelated. There is a major wave across Europe that seeks to limit immigration into the continent. It may well be that we will witness the doors slam shut on further waves of immigrants from North Africa and the Middle East. Indeed, some of those who are already in Europe may be deported. That would be a major switch which could have world wide implications.
1. There could be a major war brewing between Israel and the terrorist group Hezbollah supported by Iran. For many years, Hezbollah was focused on supporting the Assad regime in Syria. During that time, Hezbollah had forces in the Syrian fighting and supposedly suffered something like 30% casualties. Now that the Syrian fighting is essentially over, Hezbollah has moved back to targeting Israel with the help of Iran. This has led to two developments. First, the Hezbollah forces have been constructing tunnels under the border between Israel and Lebanon (which is Hezbollah's home). These are like the tunnels that Hamas constructed on Israel's border with Gaza and then used to sneak into Israel to conduct raids and kidnappings. In the last week or so, Israel has been conducting operations on its own side of the border to find and destroy these tunnels. So far, two have been found and destroyed. There's no word yet on whether or not there are more. Second, and much more important, Hezbollah has commenced an operation supported by Iran to put guidance systems on its thousands of missiles in Lebanon. At the moment, Hezbollah has something like 130,000 missiles it could fire at Israel, but these are extremely inaccurate. Were Hezbollah to fire at a particular target, the odds are overwhelming that it would miss. Of course, were Hezbollah to fire thousands of missiles it would surely hit something. Israel has its Iron Dome system which tracks missiles and shoots down those which are projected to hit populated areas or military targets. It essentially neutralizes the threat of the Hezbollah missiles unless the terrorists were to launch thousands of missiles simultaneously. Of course, were Hezbollah to have accurate missiles, it would take far fewer to overwhelm the Iron Dome system. One hundred accurate missiles launched at the same time could not be shot down by the Iron Dome system; some would get through and inflict major casualties on the Israelis. As a result Israel is moving ahead to try to stop Hezbollah from getting the capability of building these guidance systems.
All of this means that were are likely at a point at which either Hezbollah decides that it needs to use the tunnels that it built before they are destroyed by the Israelis, or Israel decides that it has to wipe out the Hezbollah facilities building the guidance systems by attacking them in Lebanon. Either action could be the spark that starts a major war.
A war between Israel and Hezbollah would be a serious problem. No doubt, all the people living near the border would be in jeopardy. While the Israelis would not target the civilians, Hezbollah uses the same tactics as Hamas by keeping its missiles in schools, mosques, churches and even hospitals. That makes such buildings inevitable targets as Hezbollah tries to launch attacks. On the other hand, Hezbollah's main target would be Israeli civilians as it launches thousands of vaguely targeted missiles. The Israelis might be forced to invade Lebanon to weed out the missiles. If that happens, most likely Hamas will use the occasion to launch its own attacks from Gaza. The Israelis will face a two front terrorist war.
In the old days a war between Israel and her neighbors led to the possibility of confrontation between the USA and the USSR. These days, Russia is back in the Middle East, principally as an ally of the Assad regime in Syria. Nevertheless, Russia is unlikely to get involved in fighting in Lebanon involving only Israel, Hezbollah and Iran. That Iranian involvement, though, is something that is unpredictable. Iran could use the war to launch its own missiles at Israel. No doubt that would lead to some sort of Israeli retaliation against the Iranians, and the result could be a much wider war in the Middle East. The point is that once a war began between Hezbollah and Israel, it has the possibility of growing much larger.
2. The overall "order" in Europe seems to be crumbling. The media, however, covers it as if it is not related. That's wrong.
In the UK, a Brexit vote is likely to be postponed in Parliament. No matter, it still seems that the vote will fail and that could lead to a quick departure for Prime Minister May. If May goes, it's unclear who will follow her. Elections could even lead to the victory of the Labour Party and its odious leader Jeremy Corbyn as the electorate expresses its revulsion for the failure of the Tories to govern effectively.
In France, the Macron government is in deep trouble. The protests in Paris shows no signs of abating. (By the way, notice have the mainstream media call these protests "riots" because they are being carried out by people who don't want to pay major tax increases to fight "climate change"?) In fact, the protests seem to be expanding to cover additional subjects like the level of immigration into France.
In Germany, Angela Merkel is soon to end her time as chancellor. Her Christian Democrat party as well as the Socialists with whom she governs in coalition seem to lose more and more voters to the people who oppose the extremely lax policies followed by Merkel on immigration.
In Spain, the Vox party won seats for the first time in a regional legislature in Andalusia. Vox is labeled "far right" in the European media, but its main focus is on reducing immigration into Spain.
These, and other, European moves are not unrelated. There is a major wave across Europe that seeks to limit immigration into the continent. It may well be that we will witness the doors slam shut on further waves of immigrants from North Africa and the Middle East. Indeed, some of those who are already in Europe may be deported. That would be a major switch which could have world wide implications.
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