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Wednesday, March 18, 2020

Corona Virus Update

One week ago, I listed the tabulation of the corona virus cases in the most affected countries.  Here's the update for what happened over the last week.

Total cases diagnosed:  jumped from 125,891 to 214,894 for an increase of 71%.

Total deaths jumped from 4616 to 8732 world wide for an increase of 89%.

In China, cases went from 81,000 to about 81,500.  That's almost no increase.  Deaths went from just under 3200 to 3241.  That's an increase of 1%.

In Italy, cases jumped from 12,500 to 35,713.  That's almost a tripling of the total in one week.  Deaths went from 827 to 2978.  That's an increase of about 350%.

In Iran, cases went up from 9000 to 17,361.  That's almost a 100% increase.  Deaths jumped from 354 to 1,135.  That's an increase of 320%.

In South Korea 7765 cases a week ago jumped to 8413 today.  That's an increase of just 8%.

Spain went from 2257 to 13,910 cases and 55 to 634 dead.

In the USA, the cases went from 1280 to 7769 and deaths went from 36 to 118.

There are more figures we could list, but these countries tell very different stories.  Why have cases stopped in China and grown so little in South Korea while the cases elsewhere have soared.  The doctors on TV say it is because these countries are further along the curve.  In other words, they got hit earlier and were able to get fully in gear with measures to contain the spread of the virus sooner.  As a result, those measures are working while the other countries haven't yet been able to stop new cases.  Measures in the USA, for example, are probably stopping much of the spread of the virus, but the new cases today were contracted by the patients a week or more ago.  On top of that, testing is much more widespread, so new cases can be uncovered more quickly.  Hopefully in a week from now, the increase in cases will have slowed as it did in China and South Korea.

The problem across the world, though, is a different one that no one is discussing.  The case/death level in Iran is continuing to rise quickly even though Iran was hit a while back with the virus.  It seems as if the measures taken against the virus in Iran are much less than those elsewhere.  What this means is that Iran and possibly other countries will remain a sources of infection even if we get things under control here in the USA.  Imagine what it would be like to have recurring outbreaks like this one that drift in from Iran or elsewhere periodically.  The idea is truly appalling.


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