The president of Brazil is about to be impeached. The Supreme Court of Brazil rejected a plea by the president's lawyer to stop the impeachment vote. The vote in the Court was 8 to 2. Clearly, it was the proper decision. After all, the president wanted the court to declare any impeachment vote unconstitutional even though impeachment is specifically designated by that constitution as the way to remove the president.
So what will all this mean? First of all, it seems pretty clear that the vote will be in favor of impeachment. That will install the vice president in office as temporary president until, at least, the president is tried in the senate. Given that there is little support remaining for the president, she is likely to be convicted. That will install the current vice president as president for the rest of the term (until 2018). It will also mean that Brazil will have a president will little popular support. All the problems that have so undermined support for the president will still be there, but there will not be a political leader with the support to do anything about these problems. It's not looking good for all those people in Sao Paulo and Rio.
So what will all this mean? First of all, it seems pretty clear that the vote will be in favor of impeachment. That will install the vice president in office as temporary president until, at least, the president is tried in the senate. Given that there is little support remaining for the president, she is likely to be convicted. That will install the current vice president as president for the rest of the term (until 2018). It will also mean that Brazil will have a president will little popular support. All the problems that have so undermined support for the president will still be there, but there will not be a political leader with the support to do anything about these problems. It's not looking good for all those people in Sao Paulo and Rio.
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