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Friday, January 19, 2018

Maybe They Were Embarrassed

I've written twice before about the polling on the generic congressional ballot, the poll that asks voters "if the election for Congress were today, would you vote for the Republican or the Democrat candidate?"  For some reason, Quinnipiac has come forth with polling results that cannot be correct considering the results on the same question in polls done by many other organizations.  Just last week, Quinnipiac released a poll that showed Democrats with a 17% lead while the other pollsters had the lead around 5 or 6%.  Now, today, Quinnipiac is out with a new poll taken in a period just three days later than the last one.  This time, Quinnipiac found a lead for the Democrats of 11%.  That's right, supposedly in three days the country shifted 6% towards the Republicans.  That's interesting since the news during those three days was all about whether or not President Trump called certain countries "shitholes", hardly a story likely to result in a major move towards supporting Republican candidates for Congress.

It seems pretty clear to me that Quinnipiac has realized that its bogus polls were just too far from the others; they just looked ridiculous.  That is why the margin suddenly shifted by such a big amount in a period when there was no reason for the shift.  To me, the big shift makes it absolutely certain that Quinnipiac is not polling, but rather trying to create Fake News so that the media can write about how the Democrats are a lock to win Congress in November.

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