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Wednesday, September 25, 2019

What Changed? Why Now?

For many months, Nancy Pelosi resisted calls for the impeachment of President Trump, but yesterday afternoon she went all in for it.  It was a very strange move because it seems so irrational.  Pelosi didn't wait for the actual facts.  The White House had already announced that the transcript of the call between Trump and the president of Ukraine would be released today.  Since this is the supposed source of the impeachable offense, one would think that Pelosi would wait a day before going for impeachment.  Think how silly she will look if the call is totally innocent.  So what changed from the last six months?  Why now?

The answer may surprise many.  It may be that the Democrats are panicking about the polls.  In the last week three polls on Trump's job performance have been released.  One showed him with a positive approval margin of 8%.  That was Rasmussen which always shows Trump better than the others.  Still, Rasmussen normally showed Trump in a range of -5% to +1%, so the recent polls are a major improvement.  A second polling organization, Emerson, showed Trump with a margin of +1%.  That too is a significant development.  The third poll came from Quinipiac.  These Q polls are habitually bad for Trump.  If you look at the last year of poll results, the very worst ones for Trump consistently come from Quinipiac.  The latest Q poll shows Trump with a job approval of only 40%.  That may sound bad, but it is significantly better than the previous Q polls.  Quinipiac may arrange its results so that things always look rosy for the Democrats, but there is still a strong trend in favor of Trump and the Republicans.

There's also the start of the Biden collapse.  There is no way that Biden can explain what his son Hunter did with Joe Biden's aid in China and Ukraine.  Biden can't even explain his own actions in that regard.  Little mention is made of China as of yet in media reports, but consider this.  Hunter Biden was ejected from the military because of his drug use.  He then started dating his brother's wife while he was still married.  He has no business experience or training to speak of.  In short, he's not a good guy, or at least he doesn't present as such.  So what did the Chinese government do?  Hunter organized an investment fund that he ran.  China invested a billion dollars in that fund.  Now let's be clear, the Chinese don't give a billion dollars to a random guy with no experience so that he can invest for them.  China has plenty of smart and talented people who could handle such investments.  No, China made a huge investment in winning the favor of then Vice President Biden.  Remember, the fees earned by Hunter Biden on this Chinese investment should have been around $15 million per year.  Hunter Biden was suddenly mega-rich.  And how did Hunter manage to finalize this deal?  Easy, he flew to Beijing with his father on the official vice presidential plane.  Biden used his office to smooth the way for his son's wealth.  Old Joe knows full well what happened here.  He knew that the Chinese were buying his influence by setting his son up.  He has never commented on this.  His silence is not surprising.

But back to Biden and Ukraine.  Hunter Biden got hired to be on the board of a large Ukrainian company.  As director he got paid $60,000 per month.  That's $720,000 per year.  The company in question is private and is owned by a mega rich Ukrainian oligarch.  Hunter Biden had no business experience.  Hunter Biden had no knowledge of the natural gas business which was the main focus of this company.  Indeed, Biden had no knowledge of any field where the company operated.  But he got three quarters of a million dollars per year to be a director.  Talented and experienced individuals who are outside directors of  large US companies get paid about one third of what Hunter got even though Hunter had no skills or experience.  It's a hell of an entry level job.

There's no question that the job for Hunter was a way to try to buy the influence of Old Joe Biden and the vice presidency.  So when Old Joe proudly tells us that he used a billion dollars in aid to Ukraine as a level to force the Ukrainian government to fire the prosecutor who just happened to be investigating Hunter's company, it would be silly in the extreme to ignore the obvious corruption.

Old Joe Biden can't explain this away.  His campaign is finished.  Elizabeth Warren is now moving into the front runner position.  That scares the Democrats beyond belief.  Warren may be able to sell her anti-capitalist plans to the far left base of the Democrats.  She doesn't have the aura that Old Joe Biden has with minority voters though through his years with Obama.  She's a path to electoral defeat for the Dems.

That panic has led them to try to take down Trump with this crazy move towards impeachment.

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