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Sunday, March 31, 2019

Closing The Mexican Border

President Trump has announced a few times over the last weeks that if Mexico does not do more to stop the flow of illegal aliens across that country to the USA, he will order the closure of the US/Mexico border.  Such an order would end the flow of people and goods across the border.  It would hurt the economies of the communities in the USA near the border but it would cause total chaos in Mexico.  It's a major threat to a country in which 80% of all exports go to one country:  the USA.

The reaction from the media and the Democrats has been the usual one when it comes to immigration.  First, they trot out "experts" to tell us that the move won't work and that it will be counterproductive.  Trump, they say, must be bluffing.  +Then they bring out people to tell us that "we're better than this."  Then they move on to Trump's move being bigoted and racist.  They end with Trump's move being illegal, unconstitutional and perhaps a war crime.

Trump isn't bluffing, though.  The same experts told us that the President would never cut off aid to Guatemala, Honduras and El Salvador if they kept sending caravans to our border.  Then Trump cut off all US aid to these countries.  These governments know now that if they want to keep the gravy train coming, they actually have to take steps to reduce the flow of people to our borders from their countries.  It's too soon to see the response from the Central American governments, but I bet that losing half a billion dollars will be noticed by these governments.  I expect new action to be taken to reduce the flow of people to the USA.

Trump's move also will likely work.  A border closing would cause a ripple in the USA.  It would cause a catastrophe in Mexico.  It would also have a rather salutary effect on some parts of the USA.  All those drugs that come into the USA from Mexico would be stopped.  The media loves to tell us how the bulk of the drugs come through legal ports of entry.  That won't happen if the border is closed.  Imagine shutting down half the drug flow into the country in one move.  How many people would be saved by that move alone?

Most likely, the Mexican government will talk about not kowtowing to the USA, but they will quickly be forced to act to get the border reopened.  Mexico has laws that would permit it to round up the people in the caravans and to take them back to their home countries.  I bet that if Mexico asked, the US would find a way to pay Mexico for the costs of doing this.

And lets not forget the effect that closing the border will have on the illegals themselves.  How many fewer people will leave Guatemala and the other countries once they hear that the US border is closed to them?  It should be a substantial number.

So where will the Dems go next to try to undermine Trump?  They could go to court to seek an order from a judge to reopen the border.  The problem, however, is that the President has the absolute legal authority to close all or any part of the border.  Even some of the wackier left wing activists on the bench in the 9th circuit can't get around that one. 

I doubt that it will actually get to Trump closing the border, but if it does, it's going to be closed for a long, long time.

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