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Monday, August 22, 2011

The bottom falls out for Obama

In an amazing poll our today from Gallup, president Obama losing to Mitt Romeny among registered voters 48 to 46%. Among the same group, Obama dn Texas governor Rick Perry are tied at 47%. Obama leads Ron Paul by 47 to 45% and Michelle Bachmann by 48 to 44%. These are extraordinarily bad numbers for an incumbent president. They show that he would lose big were the election held today. For decades, Republicans always do better among likely voters than among registered voters. In other words, a Romney lead of 2% is probably more like a lead of 5 or 6 % among likely voters. That also means that Perry would be ahead among likely voters. Indeed, Paul and perhaps even Bachmann would be ahead with the group polled. It is astounding.

One needs to remember that few Americans know anything at all about any of these Republican candidates other than Mitt Romney. Even for Romney, there is at best a name recognition with not much more. The votes here are just a rejection of Obama in favor of the unknown. It is a very bad sign for the president. Of course, given the wholesale rejection of Obama's policies by the majority of Americans, these results are not completely surprising. Putting it in terms that the president will be sure to understand (although he will probably deny ever hearing this), "Obama's Chickens have come home to roost!"


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