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Wednesday, January 18, 2012

GasFrac – the impact of the new convertible debt

Yesterday, GasFrac Energy Services (symbol GFS in Canada and GSFVF on the Pink Sheets) announced that it was issuing 30 million dollars of convertible debt. Today, that figure was revised up to $35 million (Canadian) in total debt. Since I write frequently about GasFrac, I have received a fair number of e-mail questions today asking my view of the financing. The short answer is that I think it is an excellent move. Of course, no one is ever satisfied with the short answer, so let me make some important points about the debt.

1) GasFrac is raising $35 million and will be paying only 7% interest on the bonds. For a new company like GasFrac, this is low cost debt.
2) The bonds are convertible into GasFrac stock at $10.50 per share. This is just under 50% above the current price of the stock. It is a vote of confidence in the ultimate success of GasFrac that the buyers of the bonds have accepted such a high conversion price.
3) The Canadian companies that are buying the bonds include BMO Capital Markets, Cormark Securities Inc., TD Securities Inc., Scotia Capital Inc., AltaCorp Capital Inc. and Haywood Securities Inc. These are some of the larger Canadian underwriters, and it is another vote of confidence in GasFrac.
4) If the entire issue is ultimately converted into stock, it will result in the issuance of about another 3.3 million shares. This would increase the total number of shares outstanding by just over 5%. Even if the conversions take place five years from now when the bonds are about to mature, there will still be no dilution. Five years of interest payments at 7% will total 35% or about $12 million; adding this to the current stock price for 3.3 million shares will bring the total cost to just about the amount raised by the offering. If the conversion takes place earlier than five years, then there will be a surplus in the amount raised.
5) The funds raised are designated to be used for “funding of the remaining capital expenditure of the previously announced capital equipment expansion program, working capital and for general corporate purposes.” The company already had the funds to pay for the remainder of the current capital expansion program, so these funds are really freed for other uses. The most likely use is investing the new cash in a further expansion of the number of equipment sets. With last quarter’s earnings’ report, management said that they had the cash flow to continue to grow the company’s revenue by 30% per year. This new cash means that the 30% growth rate should be exceeded.
6) The final documents filed in connection with the issuance of the debt ought to give us a preview of how the company performed in the fourth quarter of 2011. There will not yet be audited year end financials, but there will have to be unaudited data on revenues which is the key metric for GasFrac at this juncture in its development. The closing is scheduled for February 8, 2012, so the details should appear on SEDAR at that point.
7) For all those of you in the USA who have said to me that you were interested in buying the bonds, I am sorry to tell you, but you cannot. The deal is only being registered in Canada. That means it would be illegal for anyone to sell the bonds in the USA. If you have a brokerage account with a Canadian Broker, you may be able to buy the bonds in Canada using Canadian currency, however.
8) The goal for GasFrac has always been to grow as rapidly as possible so long as the cost of growth can be managed in a rational way. These convertible bonds are a big step forward on that front.
DISCLOSURE: I remain long GasFrac stock.

4 comments:

bwl123 said...

5) The funds raised are designated to be used for “funding of the remaining capital expenditure of the previously announced capital equipment expansion program, working capital and for general corporate purposes.” The company already had the funds to pay for the remainder of the current capital expansion program, so these funds are really freed for other uses.
..............................
From Q32011 Interim Report.

As at September 30, 2011 the Company had $34.0 million of working capital compared to $118.3 million at
December 31, 2010. The decrease in working capital is primarily due to investing in capital assets of $89.2
million during the nine months ended September 30, 2011.


As at September 30, 2011, the Company had approximately $68 million of capital commitments as part of the
2011 capital program. The Company anticipates being able to fund these capital expenditures through cash
on hand, operating cash flows and financing which may include current or future debt facilities or equity or a
combination thereof.
...........................
November 30, 2010 15:11 ET
GASFRAC Energy Services Inc. Announces $150 Million 2011 Capital Expansion Program and $95 Million Dollar Bought Deal Offering of Common Shares
http://www.marketwire.com/press-release/gasfrac-energy-services-inc-announces-150-million-2011-capital-expansion-program-95-tsx-venture-gfs-1361459.htm

orpills said...

I just can't find how this last announcement is related to the Aug 31st PR "GASFRAC Energy Services Inc Enters Into $100 Million Bank Syndication" http://www.reuters.com/finance/stocks/GSFVF.PK/key-developments/article/2393909
I thought they had enought money for capex

Jeff said...

It is worth reviewing the status of the funding for capital expenditures prior to the issuance of these new convertible bonds. simply put, GasFrac already had sufficient funding to pay for all of the current capital program. Management made this clear in the last conference call. Here is an excerpt from the summary of that last call: "Capital expenditures will be about 35 million in each of the fourth quarter of [2011] and the first quarter of 2012. These expenditures are fully funded."
During that same conference call, management explained that the anticipated cash flow of the company was sufficient to fund ongoing capital expenditures beyond the first quarter which would be sufficient to allow for a 30% growth rate in revenues. since the company now has 10 equipment sets, a 30% growth rate means that free cash flow would fund the purchase of 3 more sets. The new funding from the convertible bonds would be to buy equipment on top of that increase.

The $100 million bank line of credit is short term borrowing which normally would be reserved for day to day working capital. Most companies do not use short term borrowing to fund long term expansion.

Lastly, the line quoted by bwl123 from the 3rd quarter report, namely, "The Company anticipates being able to fund these capital expenditures through cash
on hand, operating cash flows and financing which may include current or future debt facilities or equity or a combination thereof" is boilerplate which has been in at least the last three quarterly reports (I did not look further back.)

orpills said...

thank you Jeff, very much appreciated