The Ice of March

The New York Times has a major article today reporting that climate change will cause the polar ice sheets to melt and that this will endanger coastal cities by the year 2100.  This is a major change for the global warming crowd.  Fifteen years ago, they told us that much of the coast would be under water by now. The ice in Antarctica and Greenland was melting, or so they said, and sea levels would rise dramatically.  Of course, it didn't happen.  In fact, recent measurements show that the quantity of ice at the southern polar region has increased in a major way over the last 15 years, just the opposite of the global warming prediction.  The location of the ice has shifted; there is much more inland and less in the ice shelf that goes out over the sea, but the total ice is much higher.  Sea level is basically unchanged.  It's been a major embarrassment that the media has just wanted to ignore.

There's an old adage that says that if you predict something, it is best not to say when it will happen.  That way, you can never be proven wrong.  So that is the new position of the global warming supporters.  Predicting that there will be higher sea levels in 84 years is the same as giving no date at all.  After all, no one making that prediction will be alive in 84 years.  Indeed, essentially no one hearing the prediction will be alive then either. 

So what we have today in the Times is actually a surrender by the global warming crowd to the reality that they have been extremely wrong.  Oh, they are still trying to tell us that their computer models that predicted soaring temperatures and melting ice were not wrong.  Statistical analysis of the predictions against actual results shows the contrary; the computer models on which global warming theory rests have all been shown to be erroneous.  Even so, these "settled science" people still want America to reorder its activities at a tremendous cost because of the threat "shown" by these invalid computer models.