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Wednesday, March 23, 2016

The Trump Nomination Comes Closer

Yesterday, Donald Trump won Arizona and Ted Cruz won Utah.  Trump got 58 delegates from Arizona and Cruz got 40 from Utah.  That means that Trump stayed on course to get the nomination, but Cruz fell further behind.  There were also 9 delegates selected in American Samoa, but they were uncommitted.

In the next four weeks, there will be many fewer primaries.  Wisconsin and New York are the next key targets.  Trump is way ahead in the sparse polling in New York.  Wisconsin is less certain.  Neither state, however, is prime territory for Cruz.  In other words, for all the media hype about efforts to stop Trump and have a contested convention, Trump remains on the path to winning on the first ballot in Cleveland.  Indeed, it is hard to imagine anything else happening.

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