There's a new poll out from the Des Moines Register of the race for the Democrat nomination for president in 2020. It's way too early for this poll to matter except for what it shows regarding trends in the first-in-the-nation caucus state. Here are the keys:
1. Beto O'Rourke should change his name again. I would suggest Beto O'Finished. Six months ago, Beto had a sizeable following in Iowa in the same poll. Now he has fallen to just 2% support. The silly idea that a loser from Texas with nothing to recommend him other than his ability to wave his arms endlessly could win has become apparent to most Iowa Democrats.
2. Old Joe Biden has lost his post-announcement bounce. Biden is still in first place, but unlike some of the polls that put him at the high 30's right after his announcement, this latest poll puts him in the lower 20's. Bernie Sanders is in the high teens and Warren and Buttigieg are in the mid teens. Biden is no longer way ahead. My prediction is that as all the candidates become more familiar, the advantage that Biden still has due to his high name recognition will dissipate and Old Joe will start his sink into oblivion. If Old Joe keeps flipping his positions like he just did on federal funding for abortion, that decline will likely accelerate.
3. Elizabeth Warren seems to have overcome her excursion into the world of fake Native Americans, at least with a part of the Democrat base. These people seem to forgive Liz for her lying about being a Cherokee in order to get high paying jobs at Penn and Harvard Law Schools so long as she keeps up her angry rants about Trump and the Republicans and how they are the source of all evil in the universe. She's up to 15% support.
This will all change many times before the Iowa caucus next year. Still, it's fun to watch.
1. Beto O'Rourke should change his name again. I would suggest Beto O'Finished. Six months ago, Beto had a sizeable following in Iowa in the same poll. Now he has fallen to just 2% support. The silly idea that a loser from Texas with nothing to recommend him other than his ability to wave his arms endlessly could win has become apparent to most Iowa Democrats.
2. Old Joe Biden has lost his post-announcement bounce. Biden is still in first place, but unlike some of the polls that put him at the high 30's right after his announcement, this latest poll puts him in the lower 20's. Bernie Sanders is in the high teens and Warren and Buttigieg are in the mid teens. Biden is no longer way ahead. My prediction is that as all the candidates become more familiar, the advantage that Biden still has due to his high name recognition will dissipate and Old Joe will start his sink into oblivion. If Old Joe keeps flipping his positions like he just did on federal funding for abortion, that decline will likely accelerate.
3. Elizabeth Warren seems to have overcome her excursion into the world of fake Native Americans, at least with a part of the Democrat base. These people seem to forgive Liz for her lying about being a Cherokee in order to get high paying jobs at Penn and Harvard Law Schools so long as she keeps up her angry rants about Trump and the Republicans and how they are the source of all evil in the universe. She's up to 15% support.
This will all change many times before the Iowa caucus next year. Still, it's fun to watch.
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