A few months back, Elizabeth Warren was thought to be dead in the race for the Democrat nomination. After all, she had gone through her phony Native American fiasco and not even handled that disaster well. She was running behind Biden, Sanders, O'Rourke, Booker and Harris in the polls and it wasn't even close. Lately, however, Liz has shown signs of life. Her campaign has focused on making substantive proposals. She wants to tax everything that moves or doesn't. She not only wants a much higher income tax, but she also wants a wealth tax and higher payroll taxes (that hit everyone.) She's in favor of free healthcare (free, that is, aside from all those taxes), forgiveness of student loans (paid for with more taxes), and free this and free that. The far left base of the Democrats really like these ideas. Warren has moved into a strong third place in the polls and in some she has passed Sanders. A poll of members of super-left Moveon.org put her far in the lead with Sanders second and Biden only third. This poll shows the strength of her far left ideas among-- not surprisingly -- the far left.
So will this be enough to get Warren the nomination? I doubt it. Warren still has little strength among the biggest bloc of Democrat voters: African Americans. She also has little appeal to those who are not already true believers in the ultra-progressive mantras that her campaign translates into proposals for more spending and taxes. Still, where I would have given her zero chance of winning the nomination a few months back, I think she is now at 5-10%. That is a big recovery; she has risen from the dead a la John McCain in 2008. Still, it's worth remembering what happened to McCain in 2008. Even were Warren to get the nomination, she still will not win the general. Her ideas are just too radical for the average American voter.
So will this be enough to get Warren the nomination? I doubt it. Warren still has little strength among the biggest bloc of Democrat voters: African Americans. She also has little appeal to those who are not already true believers in the ultra-progressive mantras that her campaign translates into proposals for more spending and taxes. Still, where I would have given her zero chance of winning the nomination a few months back, I think she is now at 5-10%. That is a big recovery; she has risen from the dead a la John McCain in 2008. Still, it's worth remembering what happened to McCain in 2008. Even were Warren to get the nomination, she still will not win the general. Her ideas are just too radical for the average American voter.
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