The Phony CBS/New York Times polls

This morning, there are new polls from CBS and the New York Times. The polls cover three states: Florida, Pennsylvania and Ohio. Each shows a big Obama lead. Each one is phony, and the pollster obviously must know that this is the case. Let me explain using the Florida poll as an example.

In 2004, the exit polls on election day showed the electorate identified itself as 37% Democrat, 41% Republican and the rest independent. In 2008, the exit polls showed the electorate to be 37% Democrat and 34% Republican with the rest independent. No one expects that the 2008 voting pattern will hold again this time. Republicans are far more energized to come out and vote while Democrats are less likely to come out. Many who came to vote for the first black presidential candidate will not make it back a second time. In other words, the turnout model should be closer to the four percent Republican advantage of 2004 than the 3% Democrat advantage of 2008. In its Florida poll, CBS is using a 9% Democrat advantage. Interestingly, CBS/NYT in its poll shows that Republicans are more enthusiastic about voting than Democrats. CBS/NYT also shows Romney with a lead among independents. Indeed, CBS/NYT shows that the results among Democrats, Republicans and independents are roughly the same that they were in the last poll by CBS/NYT a month ago. Despite that, CBS/NYT finds that Obama's lead has increased by 6%. This is impossible, and the pollster knows this.

This is perhaps the clearest example I have seen of a poll manipulated to give Obama an advantage. I am not surprised that it was done for the New York Times or CBS.

This fraud ought to be exposed.