The race for the senate in Texas between senator Ted Cruz and his opponent Beto O'Rourke seems to be discussed in the mainstream media only in some sort of fantasy world in which Beto actually might win. He won't.
Let's start with the polls. The last poll before today's election had Cruz up by 9%. It doesn't matter that it was 9%, it only matters that it was a significant lead well outside the margin of error. And then there's every other poll in the race. There's not a single poll in which O'Rourke broke through the mid 40's. There's also not a single public poll in which O'Rourke moved into the lead. None of the many polls is important by itself, but the combined weight of all of them together paints a picture of Texans opting for Cruz.
Then there's the immigration issue. In the last week, it has become known that O'Rourke used campaign funds to sent support to the caravans of illegals coming towards the Texas border from Honduras. That is illegal, but more important, it is not something that plays very well in Texas.
Despite the hopelessness of the O'Rourke position in the election, the media is still covering it as if Beto has a chance. I just saw an article from this afternoon discussing which counties across Texas would be the key to an O'Rourke victory. That makes about as much sense as if the article were written today about the places where the 2016 election could be decided.
At least there is one good thing here: after today, we should get a few weeks off before the next campaign begins.
Let's start with the polls. The last poll before today's election had Cruz up by 9%. It doesn't matter that it was 9%, it only matters that it was a significant lead well outside the margin of error. And then there's every other poll in the race. There's not a single poll in which O'Rourke broke through the mid 40's. There's also not a single public poll in which O'Rourke moved into the lead. None of the many polls is important by itself, but the combined weight of all of them together paints a picture of Texans opting for Cruz.
Then there's the immigration issue. In the last week, it has become known that O'Rourke used campaign funds to sent support to the caravans of illegals coming towards the Texas border from Honduras. That is illegal, but more important, it is not something that plays very well in Texas.
Despite the hopelessness of the O'Rourke position in the election, the media is still covering it as if Beto has a chance. I just saw an article from this afternoon discussing which counties across Texas would be the key to an O'Rourke victory. That makes about as much sense as if the article were written today about the places where the 2016 election could be decided.
At least there is one good thing here: after today, we should get a few weeks off before the next campaign begins.
No comments:
Post a Comment