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Saturday, November 24, 2018

The Government's Global Warming Report

I'm sitting in a very cold state of Connecticut looking at the report issued by the government on global warming.  It's actually the fourth such report since 2000.  Each report has predicted imminent catastrophe due to the climate.  We never seem to reach those catastrophes but each time we have a serious weather event, it gets blamed on global warming.

Think about this:  there were massive wild fires in California in the past month.  Some people blame these on global warming.  There were much bigger fires in California during the 1930s and 1940s, however.  Were they due to anticipatory global warming?  In the period from 2000 to 2010, there weren't many big fires in California.  Was that also due to global warming?

Or how about this:  After hurricane Katrina, the USA went for the longest stretch in recorded history without being hit by a major hurricane.  The period without those storms got so long that some global warming theorists announced that the lack of hurricanes was the result of global warming.  Then, last year we had three such storms.  What was the cause?  If you guessed global warming, you get the prize.  It seems that the lack of hurricanes as well as the presence of hurricanes are due to global warming.  That means that everything is due to global warming.

Then there's the satellite measurements of atmospheric temperature around the globe made by NASA.  The satellites that measure these temperatures were authorized by Congress in the 1990s in order to observe global warming.  From 2000 to 2017, though, these measurements from space of atmospheric temperatures have been statistically steady.  There is no rise.  And these temperatures are not affected by man's activities on the ground.  In other words, a weather station outside a rapidly growing city can record an increase in temperatures just because the city is coming closer.  Atmospheric temperatures are not affected in that way and so are much more accurate.  But there's no rise in temperatures.  In fact, the steadiness of the temperatures are sufficient to prove that the models on which all global warming theory is based are wrong.  That doesn't mean that there's not going to be global warming.  It just means that the computer systems that have been used to predict what would happen do NOT work.  In short, we just don't know.

Let's overlay the current minimum in solar activity.  There have been no sunspots in the last year.  That means a lessening of radiation of heat from the sun.  The result is that the upper atmosphere of the Earth cools, and that cooling means the lower atmosphere cools, although at a slower rate.  We may be heading into one of the coolest periods on Earth in the last 100 years.  That doesn't mean we will hit a mini-ice age, but it does give one cause to stop and wonder about the drumbeat regarding global warming.  If the sun reduces its warming of the Earth, that will far outweigh any man made effect due to greenhouse gases.  We could see severe cold.

It would be nice if the certainty with which the media portrays global warming were replaced with the proper level of scientific skepticism.  We just don't know what the climate will be in 20 years.  Anyone who tells you the contrary is either just a fool or a charlatan.

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