The GOP Race -- What comes next?

After Mitt Romney's wins yesterday in Arizona and Michigan, one would expect that he should be coasting forward to the nomination. He is not yet there, however, and the GOP race remains quite fluid. In just the next week, eleven states will vote, and Romney may win as few as four while losing seven. Here is the rundown:

Washington -- the caucus is Saturday. The latest poll (from last week)had Santorum up by 11.

Alaska -- the caucus is Tuesday. There are no polls.

Georgia -- The primary is Tuesday. Gingrich is up by about 10% in the polls in his home state.

Idaho -- Another Tuesday caucus. Another state with no polling. There are large numbers of Mormons in Idaho, however, so Romney has to be favored.

Massachusetts -- Romney has to be favored in Tuesday's vote. After all, this is his third home state and the polls have him up by 45%.

North Dakota -- Tuesday's caucus seems ready made for Santorum, but there are no polls to confirm this.

Ohio -- The polls for Tuesday's primary all show Santorum in the lead, but all of them predate yesterday's sweep by Romney.

Oklahoma -- Santorum is way in front for Tuesday's primary. The race is between Romney and Gingrich for second place.

Tennessee -- Another Tuesday primary with no polling yet. Nevertheless, the likely winner is Santorum or Gingrich.

Vermont -- the last poll in Vermont was during the summer of 2011. The primary should go to Romney, however.

Virginia -- only Romney and Paul are on the ballot for Tuesday's primary. If Romney loses here, he should drop out of the race.

Wyoming -- The caucuses in Wyoming have no polling data which has been made public.

Looking at all these races, Romney is only clearly ahead in Massachusetts, Vermont, Virginia (by default) and probably Idaho. Gingrich leads in Georgia. Santorum is ahead in Ohio, Oklahoma and likely North Dakota. Tennessee goes to either Santorum or Gingrich. Washington, Alaska and Wyoming are anyone's guess.

If things play out with Santorum taking Washington and Alaska and Romney taking Wyoming, then less than half of the delegates awarded between now and super Tuesday will go to Romney. He ought to be doing better at this point in the race.