For the last 20 years, "experts" have been telling us in the media and in academia that demographic changes in the American population are going to make the Democrats unbeatable. There just won't be enough white voters to outweigh the huge majorities that the Democrats will get from black and Hispanic voters. This was the "demography is destiny" theory, and it has been widely pushed and widely accepted. It doesn't matter who the candidates are or what they stand for, or so we were told. All that matters is that minorities will vote almost unanimously for the Democrats. Indeed, the standard attack used by Democrats against Republicans, namely that the GOP is racist, sexist, homophobic, anti-Hispanic, etc., is designed to reinforce the preferences of minorities for the Democrats.
Suddenly, this all seems to be changing. One recent poll found President Trump with a 38% approval rating among African Americans. That would be a bleak number overall, but among African Americans it is a major improvement. Apparently, the huge decrease in black unemployment under Trump and the major increase in new business formation by blacks have impressed many African Americans. The general improvement in black economic prospects has not been missed. Despite the non-stop condemnation of Trump as racist, blacks have seen him in action, and it is hard to reconcile the results with racism.
Similar things are happening in the Hispanic community. About six weeks ago, a Texas state senate seat flipped from Democrat to Republican in a district that is almost two thirds Hispanic. It had been held by the Dems for 136 years prior to this special election. Hispanics are also breaking much more towards the GOP than has been the case in the past in a series of polls in senate and governors' races especially.
The efforts of people like Kanye West, Candace Owens, and Jim Brown to promote African Americans to end their no-questions-asked allegiance to the Democrats may also be working. In a strange way, the hysterical condemnation of these people by the usual Democrat spokesmen and their support chorus in the mainstream media may also be reinforcing the message of people like Kanye West. If someone is little known in the community, it may be possible to demonize them, especially with media support. On the other hand, in the last day since Kanye West met with Donald Trump in the White House, the media/Democrat chorus has managed to call him a "the Preisdent's token negro", part of a "minstrel show", illiterate, crazy, sad and stupid. The black community knows that such charges are not just inaccurate, but also that they are highly offensive. Attacking someone as a "traitor" for holding different political views is not something that goes over well in America in any community other than the far left.
So just imagine what happens if the black vote were to switch to 70% Democrat and 30% Republican while the Hispanic vote were to move to a 55-45 split. With those numbers, the Democrats would never again win a national race until they restore their standing among whites. Of course, that would mean the Dems would have to move away from the far left and some of their other extreme positions. They also will have to stop condemning people voting Republican as "deplorable" and the like.
All of this is based upon polls which can be notoriously unreliable. We may find in November that black and Hispanic support for the Dems is still overwhelming. Then again, we may find to the contrary that support for the Dems is eroding at a quick pace. My bet is for a result closer to the latter than the former.
Suddenly, this all seems to be changing. One recent poll found President Trump with a 38% approval rating among African Americans. That would be a bleak number overall, but among African Americans it is a major improvement. Apparently, the huge decrease in black unemployment under Trump and the major increase in new business formation by blacks have impressed many African Americans. The general improvement in black economic prospects has not been missed. Despite the non-stop condemnation of Trump as racist, blacks have seen him in action, and it is hard to reconcile the results with racism.
Similar things are happening in the Hispanic community. About six weeks ago, a Texas state senate seat flipped from Democrat to Republican in a district that is almost two thirds Hispanic. It had been held by the Dems for 136 years prior to this special election. Hispanics are also breaking much more towards the GOP than has been the case in the past in a series of polls in senate and governors' races especially.
The efforts of people like Kanye West, Candace Owens, and Jim Brown to promote African Americans to end their no-questions-asked allegiance to the Democrats may also be working. In a strange way, the hysterical condemnation of these people by the usual Democrat spokesmen and their support chorus in the mainstream media may also be reinforcing the message of people like Kanye West. If someone is little known in the community, it may be possible to demonize them, especially with media support. On the other hand, in the last day since Kanye West met with Donald Trump in the White House, the media/Democrat chorus has managed to call him a "the Preisdent's token negro", part of a "minstrel show", illiterate, crazy, sad and stupid. The black community knows that such charges are not just inaccurate, but also that they are highly offensive. Attacking someone as a "traitor" for holding different political views is not something that goes over well in America in any community other than the far left.
So just imagine what happens if the black vote were to switch to 70% Democrat and 30% Republican while the Hispanic vote were to move to a 55-45 split. With those numbers, the Democrats would never again win a national race until they restore their standing among whites. Of course, that would mean the Dems would have to move away from the far left and some of their other extreme positions. They also will have to stop condemning people voting Republican as "deplorable" and the like.
All of this is based upon polls which can be notoriously unreliable. We may find in November that black and Hispanic support for the Dems is still overwhelming. Then again, we may find to the contrary that support for the Dems is eroding at a quick pace. My bet is for a result closer to the latter than the former.
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