The senate election in Michigan was thought to be over long ago. Incumbent Debbie Stabenow had a lead one month ago of 23% over Republican challenger James. Since then the polls have been moving towards James. Today, a new poll out in Michigan has Stabenow up only 7% over James. Stabenow no longer has more than 50% of the vote as well.
This is an epic move for polling data. Stabenow is well known in Michigan; James is not. Ms. Stabenow, however, is a rather boring and dull senator who seems not to take the lead on anything. James is a West Point graduate and veteran who is also the first black Republican candidate for senate in Michigan history. It's hard to tell thought if race is playing a role in the election. It seems more likely that as Michigan gets to know James, the state's voters like what they are seeing.
Anyone placing a bet on this race would still be wise to select Stabenow as the winner. Still, the race is no longer a laugher. James really has a good chance to win.
And by the way, if James wins in Michigan, we will likely see a GOP net pickup of more than six senate seats. (Hardly a blue wave.)
This is an epic move for polling data. Stabenow is well known in Michigan; James is not. Ms. Stabenow, however, is a rather boring and dull senator who seems not to take the lead on anything. James is a West Point graduate and veteran who is also the first black Republican candidate for senate in Michigan history. It's hard to tell thought if race is playing a role in the election. It seems more likely that as Michigan gets to know James, the state's voters like what they are seeing.
Anyone placing a bet on this race would still be wise to select Stabenow as the winner. Still, the race is no longer a laugher. James really has a good chance to win.
And by the way, if James wins in Michigan, we will likely see a GOP net pickup of more than six senate seats. (Hardly a blue wave.)
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