Election Day is two weeks away, but people are already voting all across the country. There are absentee ballots, early voting and mail voting going on. These are votes that will be locked in. Nothing that happens between now and election day will change them. It's worth taking a look to see how that voting is going.
First of all, we can't tell you the actual numbers for each candidate since the votes have not yet been tabulated. We can, however, tell you who has voted. In other words, we know in some states how many registered Democrats, Republicans and Independents have voted. Since all the polling shows that over 90% of Democrats are supporting the Democrat and over 90% of the Republicans support the Republican, this gives an indication of how the results are going. We can also gauge the turnout compared to the last midterm in 2014 at this point and can do the same compared to the presidential election in 2016. Normally, the turnout in midterms is much lower than in presidential years.
Here are some of the results.
In North Carolina, after two days of early voting the number of Dems voting is down 7.7% from 2016 and Reps are up 4.8% from 2016.
In Tennessee, early voting numbers shows Dems down .2% and Reps up .3%. Remember, Reps won big in 2016.
In Florida, the absentee ballots requested show 51,000 more Reps than Dems. This is a much bigger lead than in 2016 (when Republicans won the state.)
In Georgia, the absentee/early voting is huge, up from 2016. There is no R/D breakdown, but the numbers are available by race for some reason. The share of those voting who are African American is down 6% from 2016 (when Trump carried the state.) This bodes well for the Reps.
There are similar results in Indiana and Arizona where the R's are doing much better than the D's compared to 2016 (when Trump won both states.)
In Nevada, there is no appreciable difference from the 2016 proportions. The Dems took this state then, so that is a good sign for them.
Unlike polls, these are actual vote figures. They are just indicators and not results, of course.
First of all, we can't tell you the actual numbers for each candidate since the votes have not yet been tabulated. We can, however, tell you who has voted. In other words, we know in some states how many registered Democrats, Republicans and Independents have voted. Since all the polling shows that over 90% of Democrats are supporting the Democrat and over 90% of the Republicans support the Republican, this gives an indication of how the results are going. We can also gauge the turnout compared to the last midterm in 2014 at this point and can do the same compared to the presidential election in 2016. Normally, the turnout in midterms is much lower than in presidential years.
Here are some of the results.
In North Carolina, after two days of early voting the number of Dems voting is down 7.7% from 2016 and Reps are up 4.8% from 2016.
In Tennessee, early voting numbers shows Dems down .2% and Reps up .3%. Remember, Reps won big in 2016.
In Florida, the absentee ballots requested show 51,000 more Reps than Dems. This is a much bigger lead than in 2016 (when Republicans won the state.)
In Georgia, the absentee/early voting is huge, up from 2016. There is no R/D breakdown, but the numbers are available by race for some reason. The share of those voting who are African American is down 6% from 2016 (when Trump carried the state.) This bodes well for the Reps.
There are similar results in Indiana and Arizona where the R's are doing much better than the D's compared to 2016 (when Trump won both states.)
In Nevada, there is no appreciable difference from the 2016 proportions. The Dems took this state then, so that is a good sign for them.
Unlike polls, these are actual vote figures. They are just indicators and not results, of course.
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