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Saturday, October 23, 2010
The Avalanche is here
I have been writing about the various House races for some time under the heading of "The Coming Avalanche". With today's news, I am changing that to "The Avalanche is Here!" As of this morning, there are now 220 seats that are ranked by Real Clear Politics as safe, likely or leaning Republican. There are 178 seast so ranked for the Democrats. A majority of the House is 218 seats, so for the first time there is a majority showing for the GOP. this is not just another group taking a stab at ranking races. RCP relies on polling and it does not move races to one party or the other unless the candidate is substantially ahead. There are also another 37 seats listed as toss ups or too close to call. The momentum in the House races is all towards the GOP. If the trend continues, it is not hard to see the GOP with a pick up of 75 or more seats. The Avalanche is here!!!!!!!!!!!
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