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Friday, October 22, 2010

The coming Avalanche -- the latest

I have been watching the Real Clear Politics polling data and rankings for the House as an indicator of where the election is going. As of today, RCP now has 178 seats rated as safe, likely or leaning Democrat, and 214 seats rated as safe, likely or leaning Republican. Two months ago, the parties were tied at approximately 201 each. There are also another 43 seats rated as toss ups. Of those toss up seats, 41 are currently held by a Democrat. I keep hearing that the Democrats are closing the gap, but there seems to be no empirical data to support this claim. I think it is just wishful thinking by the Dems. Today, Dick Morris is out with a statement claiming that there are now over 100 Democrat seats in play. Just imagine if 40% of all the Democrats in the House get bounced out by the voters. It is about time!

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