In the race for the Congressional seat in the 20th district of NY, Democrat incumbent Scott Murphy should have a big advantage. Murphy was elected last year in a special election. While that race was close, Murphy won and got his name spread across the district. That name recognition should have helped him to hold the seat this year. Further, since Murphy did not get to Congress until the middle of 2009, he avoided having to vote on the stimulus and some other goodies in the Obama - Pelosi agenda. Despite all of this, things are not looking good for Mr. Murphy. the latest poll in the district has Chris Gibson, his GOP challenger, up by 51% to 42%. The Siena poll was just released yesterday.
Because there has not been much polling in the district and because the prior polls from early September showed Murphy up by double digits, the race gets ranked as a toss up by most of the main rating sites. Nevertheless, if this poll is even close to being correct, Murphy is history. It will be another pickup for the GOP.
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