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Friday, April 12, 2013

Do They Understand What They are Saying?

Let's try a thought exercise:  What reaction would you expect if Vladimir Putin of Russia were to solemnly announce that Russia does not accept the dissolution of the Soviet Union?  It is not a hard question; the answer is that there would be fear, anger and general upset particularly in those countries like Ukraine, Moldova, Latvia and the like which used to be so called Soviet Socialist Republics but which broke free from Russia when the USSR collapsed.

Let's try a second thought exercise:  What reaction would you expect if China announced that it would not accept the recent increase in the size of the navy of Taiwan?  Again, the answer is not hard; the folks in Taiwan would be outraged, and China would be denounced by, among others, the USA for its threats.

Okay, one last exercise:  What reaction would you expect if the United States Secretary of State announced in South Korea that "North Korea will not be accepted as a nuclear power"?  Okay, this one is not an exercise.  Secretary Kerry actually said this within the last 24 hours.  That's right; the village idiot of the cabinet, secretary of state Kerry arrived in Seoul in a supposed attempt to "reduce tensions" and made this idiotic announcement.  We have a North Korean regime that is nuttier than a bag of peanuts and which is so paranoid that it could qualify for group rates at most psychiatric institutions.  The fear of the NK's for years has been that they will be subjected to a surprise attack from the USA and the South Koreans.  It is a delusional fear, but it is one of their prime motivating forces nevertheless.  So Kerry goes to Seoul and makes an announcement that sure sounds like a threat of further action.

It certainly would have been easy enough to make a strong statement that does not threaten attack like this.  Suppose Kerry were to say the following: 

Conditions have changed in the Korean peninsula.  In the past, our ally South Korea faced the huge armed forces of the North Koreans; that was bad enough.  Now, the North has nuclear weapons, and it may well have the means to deliver these weapons.  We have no choice but to assume that the North has achieved this ability.  Consequently, we want to let the North Koreans know that any attack on our South Korean ally will be considered an attack on the United States of America.  We will respond to any such attack as we would to an attack on our homeland.  The response will be swift and overwhelming.

This is surely a threat, but it is a defensive threat.  It is something that Kerry could use to show strength without also prodding the NK's into action.  And guess what?  Kerry actually said something almost exactly like this.  So why did he have to add the other stuff that seemed to threaten pre-emptive action.  Why would he say things that encourages the North to use its nukes before it loses them in a coordinated allied attack?

Sometimes I wonder if the Obamacrats understand what they are saying.




 

 

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