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Wednesday, October 26, 2016

Hillary, Syria and World War 3

This morning, Donald Trump said that Hillary Clinton's policy in Syria could lead to World War 3.  This is a very important point and it needs to be explained.  Trump said that were Hillary to establish no fly zones as she is promoting for northern Syria, there could be confrontations with Russia that could lead to war.  Trump said that our focus has to be on defeating ISIS in Syria rather than on overthrowing Assad.

If there were ever a point on which American voters could look at the judgment of the candidates, this is a good one to use.  Here are the important facts:

1.  The single most important fact is that president Obama and Hillary Clinton as secretary of state did nothing as Syria melted down into a brutal civil war and the Russians moved in substantial forces to support Assad.  We will discuss this further below.

2.  Assad is a brutal dictator who started the civil war by slaughtering peaceful protesters in Damascus.  He killed hundreds of thousands of innocent civilians and drove millions from their homes.  He used chemical weapons on his own people.  Right now, he is starving to death a quarter of a million people in Aleppo.  The man is a monster.

3.  It may seem hard to believe, but ISIS is worse than Assad.  ISIS, unlike Assad, is active all over the world.  ISIS, unlike Assad, has been attacking America and Europe.  ISIS uses slavery without limitation.  ISIS wants to take control of the entire region and spread death across the world.

4.  Over the last few years, Russia has become a key ally of Assad.  Throughout the civil war, Russia had a naval base on the Mediterranean coast of Syria, but it was little involved.  Then a few years ago, Russia started shipping weapons to Assad covertly.  Even though Obama had announced that American policy was that Assad must go, the USA said and did nothing to stop the flow of Russian arms.  About six months ago, Russia announced that it would start bombing terrorists in Syria.  Russian planes did attack, but the targets were not ISIS but rather the rebels fighting Assad who had no connection to ISIS.  Obama said and did nothing to stop those attacks.  Russia then went further; it brought a major anti-aircraft system into the region.  Clearly, the anti-aircraft missiles were not aimed at ISIS or the rebels; they have no aircraft.  The missiles were designed to limit American and coalition forces, the only other group with aircraft.  Obama did nothing in response.  Russian planes have been very active helping Assad in Aleppo and they have observed no limits on bombing.  Civilians have been targeted.  In the worst instance, the Russians bombed and destroyed an aid convoy sent by the Red Cross to help the starving in Aleppo.  Not only did the Russians destroy the convoy and all the aid, but they killed the Red Cross workers who were driving the trucks.  Obama did nothing in response.

5.  The Russians are now entrenched in Syria and have made clear to the world that they are staying to help Assad.

With these facts, Hillary Clinton is still pushing to establish a no fly zone in the north of Syria where people can go for protection.  It is a policy that Trump also supported at the start of the primary campaign, long before the Russians had moved strongly into Syria.  The problem with a no fly zone, however, is that one has to enforce it.  What happens when a Russian plane flies into that no fly zone?  Will we shoot it down?  When the non-ISIS rebels bring forces into the no fly zone and the Russians send planes to attack, will we risk war with Russia to shoot down those planes?  It is a very dangerous situation.

At the last debate, Hillary Clinton was asked if she would shoot down Russian planes in her no fly zone.  Like her response to many questions at that debate, Hillary spoke and spoke about the issue but never answered the question.  All she said is that the USA would engage in diplomacy with the Russians. 

Let's carry Hillary's response through to its logical conclusion.  Russia has staked out a strong position in Syria.  It has already said that it would not accept a no fly zone in that country.  If Putin does not back down when Hillary's no fly zone is declared, that will leave America and Hillary with a rather bleak choice.  Will we let the Russians ignore the no fly zone that we declared and keep on bombing civilians in the region, or will we shoot down the Russian planes that enter the zone?  If we let the Russians keep on bombing, the USA will be humiliated and the world will know that Hillary Clinton does not mean what she says.  It will be a disaster for our country.  On the other hand, if we shoot down Russian planes, we will likely see a counter move by Putin that could quickly escalate into a full scale war between the USA and Russia.  That is a truly terrible choice.

The truth is that a no fly zone made a great deal of sense in 2015 and even the start of 2016.  Of course, Obama never took that step and instead let Putin and the Russians establish a major presence in Syria, a presence that Obama could have easily stopped.  The Russian presence changed the facts on the ground.  It made the establishment of a no fly zone into a very risky proposition.

One last note for those who are now talking about what a monster Assad is and how he must go.  Remember Saddam Hussein?  He too was a monster who had to go.  The USA went to war in Iraq.  Once it was clear that Iraq had no nuclear program or other active program for weapons of mass destruction, however, people like Hillary Clinton decided that the war had been a mistake.  So what if Saddam Hussein was a monster?  It didn't make war a good choice for the USA.  Has that reasoning changed?  Is Hillary so much of a hawk that she now wants to fight Russia in order to get rid of Assad?

Hillary's judgment is to follow a course that most likely leads either to war with Russia or humiliation of the USA.  Trump's judgment is to avoid a confrontation with Russia.  The voters need to decide whose judgment is better.

1 comment:

fastcarken said...

After Hilary called most Trump Supporters Deplorables, Most of Hilary Supporters from the Minorities can barely read and write, How can they truly know what anything means when what they can conceive and believe is almost totally contained in 30 Second Sound Bites by TV.
Illiterates and Ignoramuses abound in her supporters!!!
Of Course----My Humble Opinion as a DEPLORABLE!!!