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Monday, January 27, 2020

The Worth Of Polling

The Iowa Caucus is almost here.  It provides a "teachable moment" to use one of the media's favorite phrases.  Three polls are out on the race in Iowa.

Emerson has Sanders at 30, Biden at 21 and Klobuchar at 13 with the rest trailing.

USA Today has the top three at Biden 25, Sanders 19, and Buttigieg 18%.

CBS News has the top three at Sanders 26, Biden 25 and Buttigieg 21%

So the polls tell us that Sanders is either ahead with a big lead over, just slightly ahead of, or way behind Biden.  Mayor Pete is either close to the lead (CBS) or way behind the leaders (Emerson).

The good thing about there being so many polls is that one is likely to be somewhat close to the actual results.

Let's sum up the Iowa polls in one word: meaningless.

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