Drudge is headlining Obama's appearance last night before the Congressional Black Caucus dinner in which he called upone African Americans to guard the change that he has brought. If this is where Obama is now campaigning, he has little reason for hope.
Obama does not need to campaign before black audiences. They already buy his act. And they have little impact in most of the contested seats this fall. Because of the civil rights laws, most African Americans live in districts that are represented already by blacks. The civil rights laws and the Justice Department enforcers of those laws have for years pushed for the creation of so called minority districts, in other words districts in which minority voters make up the majority. It will not matter much in the contested seats in Pennsyvania if blacks in Philadelphia are voting more heavily. Their Democrat congressmen are going to be re-elected anyway. The same is true in state after state, district after district. Moving on to senate seats, there are few states where the races are close enough that a stronger black vote will make a difference. Right now, only Illinois seems to fall into that category. If the gap narrows again in Wisconsin, that state too could fall back into that category. A state like Nevada is seeing a very close election, but the African American percentage of the population in Nevada is so small that the turnout rate in that constituency will not make a difference statewide unless the margin is razor thin.
Obama needs to be out getting the votes of whites and, to a lesser extent, Hispanics. With those groups, however, he is forced to talk not about "change" but rather about accomplishments. given his lack of any real accomplishment other than raising the rate of poverty to a modern high, Obama has little success with those groups. No wonder he is so desperate.
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