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Saturday, September 16, 2017

Another Word on Global Warming and Hurricanes

It's been a bad year for hurricanes because of two major storms:  Harvey and Irma.  Those were the first major hurricanes to hit the USA in 12 years.  That dearth of strikes by major hurricanes is the longest period without one in recorded history.  Despite that record period without hurricanes, the media and even many of the "experts" were quick to blame the two latest hurricanes on climate change.

It's worth going back a bit to look at what the climate scientists and those pushing the global warming position have said about hurricanes over the years and their connection with global warming.

Back when Al Gore made his first movie and started really pushing the idea of man made global warming, the "settled science" was that rising temperatures would cause more and stronger storms.

When Katrina hit New Orleans and Rita hit Texas in 2005, there was a chorus of global warming supporters who kept shouting "We told you so!"  It was the beginning of the end; super strong hurricanes were now here to stay.  They said that even though for the last century, a major hurricane has hit the USA on average about every 4 years.

After Katrina, we had 12 years with no major hurricane strikes.  That was contrary to the "settled science".  It did not present much of a problem; the global warming supporters just changed "settled science."  If you go back just a year or two, you can find a series of articles explaining that global warming actually causes FEWER hurricanes, but stronger ones.  For example, here's the link to an article by the Weather Channel discussing a new study that determined that we would no longer have as many hurricanes each year but that they would have maximum winds about 3 MPH faster.  In years with unusually warm sea temperatures we would have many fewer hurricanes than the average total (12) per year.

Now we are here in 2017, and the hurricane season is half over.  In fact, September 15 is usually designated as the peak of the season.  Sea surface temperatures have been much warmer than average, so the "settled science" from last year predicts that we should have many fewer than 12 hurricanes for the entire season.  So how many hurricanes have there been?  The latest one is Hurricane Lee which just formed.  It is storm number 12 of 2017.  That's right, instead of having many fewer than 12 hurricanes for an entire season, we have had 12 with half the hurricane season left to go. [UPDATE: in the few hours since I wrote this piece, yet another named storm appeared in the Atlantic.  That means we already have 13 in only half a year.]

Have you heard anyone report on why there are so many hurricanes this year when the "settled science" says that there ought to be many fewer?  Have you heard anyone who tells us that Harvey and Irma were so destructive because of global warming mention that these monsters were, on average, only 3 MPH stronger due to that effect?  Of course not.  Now that we finally have two monster hurricanes, we are still being told that both of them were wholly the result of global warming.

It never fails to amaze me just how dishonest the global warming community is in pushing its theories.  Don't get me wrong; there may be warming.  It would not be a surprise since the Earth has been warmer than now for most of the last million years (to the extent we can determine it.)  Nor is it beyond belief that human activity is contributing to global warming, although there is nothing that so indicates as of yet.  We do know, however, that all those computer models on which global warming prophecies are based have been proven wrong.  "Settled science" is nothing more than a widely held belief in an unproven belief based upon extremely faulty computer simulations.

Before we reconstitute our economy and way of life to deal with man-made global warming, we ought to first get some valid proof that the phenomenon actually exists.

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