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Thursday, October 7, 2010

Connecticut 5 -- the coming Avalanche

There has been another shocking poll that indicates the likely magnitude of the coming republican victory. this time it is close to home in the Fifth District of Connecticut. The district has a tilt towards the Democrats which is not unusual in Connecticut; it encompasses the northwest quadrant of the state. The current congressman is Chris Murphy who has held the seat since 2006 when he ousted Nancy Johnson in a rout. No one on the national scene had thought that this was a place for a Republican pickup. Larry Sabato and Charlie Cook both list the district as Likely Democrat -- it was not thought even close enough to make it to only Leans Democrat.

Now there has been a poll released that shows Republican Sam Caligiuri ahead of Murphy by 50 to 44%. It polls likely voters and it is not by a partisan pollster. One has to assume that this is very bad news for Murphy and the Democrats. It means that even in New England, the profile of a Democrat who supports the major initiatives of Obama and Pelosi does not sell except in the most heavily Democrat districts.

If Connecticut 5 goes Republican, it is likely that Connecticut 4 will switch as well. That would be a blessing to get rid of the unctuous and vapid Jim Himes, the current Democrat in that office. Himes is the one who twice responded to letters from me complaining about his responding with form letters to real concerns by sending another copy of the same form letter to me. Hopefully, on election day both seats will flip. The latest poll in Ct-4 shows that the race is tied.

1 comment:

Unknown said...

More Jobs or More Government?

Incumbent Congressman Jim Himes is for the same type of command-and-control policies that have consistently led to low growth and high structural unemployment in Eastern Europe in the twentieth century and in Western Europe today: His only problem with pork-barrel stimulus is that there has not been enough of it. His only concern with the healthcare bill is that it did not go far enough. He voted to adjourn congress without addressing January’s massive tax hikes.

The incumbent is for unlimited government. On his watch, he voted for a government that increased borrowing by a trillion dollars a year. His answer is always the same: more government. More taxes, more spending, more job-killing regulation.

Challenger Dan Debicella believes that there is a better way: He is for policies conducive to economic growth such as replacing the pork-barrel stimulus with a payroll tax cut. He opposes all tax increases and intrusive regulation that stifles job creation.

Dan is for a constitutional, limited government. He would cap the size of the federal government at 20% of our gross domestic product. He would force politicians to make trade-offs between competing priorities instead of always growing the size government. He would reduce the number of government employees.

If Dan Debicella shares your beliefs and you want to help him advance those beliefs in congress, then you can do so here: http://www.40seats.com/ct4 . Both sides should be able to agree that your choice is clear and it is important. What kind of country do we want to live in? Do we want to continue down the current direction or do we think that there is a better way?