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Thursday, June 30, 2016

Now The Dems Want To Ignore The Polls

Think back over the last six weeks.  First Trump clinched the GOP nomination and he moved up in the polls to a slight lead over Clinton.  The Democrats and the liberal pundits in the media told us to ignore those polls.  Then two things happened, Trump got sidetracked with his judge in the Trump University case and Clinton clinched the Democrat nomination.  Hillary moved back ahead in the polls.  The media pundits told us that the race was over; Trump had cratered and could never recover.  Of course, Clinton's upsurge after clinching the nomination lasted no longer than Trump's did.  And then we had major terror attacks with the worst in Orlando and Istanbul.  Trump's advantage in dealing with terrorism moved him back closer to Clinton.  Today, we got a poll from Rasmussen that shows a five point Trump lead.  No one knows for certain if Trump or Clinton is ahead at the moment.  What is undeniable, however, is that Trump has moved up while Clinton has sunk lower.  The race is quite close.

With that background in mind, I laughed out loud when I saw an article by Al Hunt under the headline:  "Ignore the Confusing Polls, Clinton is Way Ahead".  Hunt is one of those hack liberal pundits who always seem to be pushing the latest talking points put forward by the DNC.  His thesis is that the "good" poll show Clinton ahead and the "bad" polls don't.  Also the state polls which show an extremely close race don't matter as much as the "good" national polls.  Another way to summarize Hunt's article is to say that there are a few polls that show a big lead for Hillary, and we ought to ignore all the others.

As I have been writing this post, another new poll just came out.  Investors' Business Daily/TIPP found that the race had tightened slightly since a month ago when they did their last poll.  In a four way race, the numbers are Clinton 37, Trump 36, Johnson 9 and Stein 5%.  No doubt this is another of those pesky polls that Al Hunt would tell you to ignore.

The reality is that the race is far from over.  Trump could win.  Clinton could win.  We would all do best if we focus on the policies that Trump would follow and the ones Clinton says she would follow (who knows if she's telling the truth).

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