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Sunday, September 23, 2018

When There's No American Diplomats Available

After the terrorist attack on an Iranian military parade that killed at least 29, the Iranian government summoned the diplomats from the UK, the Netherlands and Denmark to explain why those countries "harbor" the group that carried out the attack.  It's a ploy by the mullahs to try to find someone other than themselves to blame for letting that attack happen.  Think about it.  So far, no one has been arrested for carrying out the attack and there is no hard evidence as to the identity of the attackers.  The first response from the mullahs was to blame the USA even though that is patently ridiculous.  America may desire to see the mullahs replaced, but we don't organize terrorist attacks.  That is, rather, what the Iranians do themselves.  And there are no American diplomats in Iran, so the mullahs went for the next best target, western Europeans.  The UK is an old standby target from the days of the British Empire, but Holland and Denmark?  Really?  Blaming Holland and Denmark is about the same as giving Japan credit for the demise of ISIS.  Japan said some things that denounced ISIS and may have provided some measure of moral support to the effort to eradicate the terrorist group, but the Japanese actually were uninvolved in destroying ISIS.

The Iranian mullahs have a major problem:  unrest among their own population.  The Iranian economy is collapsing.  The currency has declined in value by more than 50% since the USA pulled out of the Iranian nuclear deal.  Prices in Iran are rising at a rate close to 100% annually.  There are anti-government marches all across the country despite some rather brutal tactics used by the mullahs to stop them.  Iranian oil exports are falling, and that means less foreign currency for the mullahs.  Even the pallets of cash that Obama sent to the mullahs as part of the nuclear deal are either gone or running out.  Iranian deaths continue in Syria as their forces help the Assad regime.  That may be important to the imperialistic mullahs, but the average Iranian doesn't care about Assad.  All this has now led to a terrorist attack on the parade.  That attack could be the spark that starts many more or even the overthrow of the government.  Teheran is facing a major crisis.

Most likely, we will now see a major bout of repression from the mullahs.  My prediction is that protesters will no longer be arrested, but rather shot.  That repression will either work and plunge the country into a police state horror, or it will lead to the opposite effect and foment an uprising such as happened in Syria when Assad used snipers to take out random protesters who were marching for change.  Either course is bad for the Iranian people.

UPDATE:  As if it wasn't already bad enough, the Iranian government and the armed forces have vowed "revenge" against those who "support" the terrorists.  With Iran, one never knows if that means that we will soon see some sort of revenge attack or if this is just a statement made for internal consumption. 

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